Description: Many Americans will need long term care in future years, yet only 10 percent of those 50 and over have LTC insurance, and public programs are not funded to provide care for all who need it. The Long Term Care Section and the Forecasting and Futurism Section have co-sponsored a Delphi study, code named “Land This Plane,” with a lofty objective: to create a vision for how America ought to deal with the impending Long Term Care crisis. This article describes the results of the study that were available at the time this article was written.

Description: This article goes through some basic data exploration techniques to show how different approaches look.

Description: Futurism section members participated in this Delphi study, which had multiple choice questions on a range of life, health, economic and professional issues. The article provides background on the study and comments on the predictions of participants for 2010 (and 2050) in light of experience to date.

Description: An exploration of the seasonality of mortality and how total population mortality is related to flu and pneumonia mortality.

Description: Chairperson's column for the May 2019 issue of Predictive Analytics & Futurism.

Description: The new chairperson of the SOA's PAF section, Anders Larson, discusses the variety of ways in which the section helps actuaries learn about PAF.

Description: Summary of what the section has accomplished over the past year.

Description: Chairperson's column for the May 2019 issue of Predictive Analytics & Futurism.

Description: Chairperson Address to the Predictive Analytics and Futurism Section

Description: Anders reviews the results of a recent survey of PAF section members and discusses initiatives that are planned in response.